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18 Feb 2013

Forex Flash: EUR/USD, break of trendline sees scope for 1-2 cent decline - BBH

From a technical point of view, according to Mark Chandler, Global Head of Currency Strategy at BBH, "it appears additional near-term losses in EUR/USD are likely."

Marc adds: "The 5-day moving average has crossed below the 20-day moving average. The similar trendline that the Dollar Index closed above comes in near $1.3280 in the euro and rises to $1.3320 by the end of the week. A convincing violation suggests scope for addition 1-2 cent decline. On the other hand, the trend line drawn off the early Jan high is near $1.3440 on Monday and falls toward $1.3350 by the end of the week. A move above this trend line will help stabilize the technical tone."
Feb 18, 2013

Forex: USD/JPY higher post-G20 meetings

Ahead of another day with US markets closed for holiday, USD/JPY is starting the week in Asia-Pacific to the upside, testing Friday's highs, last at 93.89, off recent fresh 4-day highs at 93.95, following G20 meetings in Moscow during the weekend. “It is as if the G7 is saying through the G20 that we have the right to weaker currencies because we have weaker economies so back off,” noted Gregory McKenna, CEO at GlobalFX and former Head of Currency Strategy at the NAB and Westpac.
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Feb 18, 2013

Forex Flash: Yen free to weaken after G20 - NAB

The message from G20 seems to be, according to NAB strategist, " ‘mind your language’, meaning that exchange rate shifts arising from appropriate domestic monetary and fiscal policies will not be criticised or challenged, but direct reference to currencies as a policy objective will be." The bank suspects "this means the yen is free to weaken, but Japanese officials must refrain from being seen to be goading the yen to weaker levels."
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