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16 Apr 2015
EUR/CHF around 1.10 in 12-month – Danske Bank
FXStreet (Edinburgh) - Analysts at Danske Bank see the EUR/CHF heading towards the 1.10 levels in a 12-month horizon.
Key Quotes
“While we previously expected the SNB to use intervention to keep the CHF from appreciating, the lack of SNB support for EUR/CHF below the 1.05 level suggests that the central bank now prefers rates as an instrument of policy”.
“We still look for the SNB to cut the sight deposit rate and the Libor target rate by 10bp to -0.85% in June but the SNB does not appear to target a specific CHF level”.
“We have thus lowered our 1-6M forecasts and now see the cross at 1.03 in 1M (prev. 1.05), 1.03 in 3M (1.05), 1.05 in 6M (1.07) and 1.10 in 12M (unchanged)”.
Key Quotes
“While we previously expected the SNB to use intervention to keep the CHF from appreciating, the lack of SNB support for EUR/CHF below the 1.05 level suggests that the central bank now prefers rates as an instrument of policy”.
“We still look for the SNB to cut the sight deposit rate and the Libor target rate by 10bp to -0.85% in June but the SNB does not appear to target a specific CHF level”.
“We have thus lowered our 1-6M forecasts and now see the cross at 1.03 in 1M (prev. 1.05), 1.03 in 3M (1.05), 1.05 in 6M (1.07) and 1.10 in 12M (unchanged)”.