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AUD/NZD: Sub-parity likely, well below fair value - Westpac

FXStreet (Bali) - Sean Callow, FX Strategist at Westpac, notes that while AUD/NZD sub-parity is likely, it will be well below fair value.

Key Quotes

"AUD/NZD is likely to remain heavy so long as Australia’s sluggish economy keeps the RBA considering further easing and the RBNZ continues to signal a steady hand."

The pair has dodged parity several times recently but should spend at least a little time below the figure soon. The 30 Mar RBNZ meeting is one potential catalyst. Note however that this would be best seen as overshooting, with our fair value estimate around 1.06.

USD/JPY testing lows near 119.50

The US dollar gave back gains from Tokyo open and turned negative against the yen, dragging USD/JPY to fresh session lows at 119.50 in late Asia, largely on the back of fresh selling witnessed in the US dollar versus its major competitors.
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NZD/USD eyes 0.77

NZD/USD swung back higher in the late Asian session, bouncing-off a brief dip to session, as the New Zealand dollar gathered momentum largely tracking solid gains from the Aussie following better than expected Australia’s inflation figures.
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