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1 May 2013
Forex Flash: Japanese inflation expectations continue rising - Nomura
FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - Nomura strategist Yujiro Goto notes that inflation expectations in Japan have been steadily rising.
He adds that the latest survey by Nikkei Quick (April 23-25) suggested a further rise in inflation expectations. He writes, “1yr inflation expectations rose to 0.27% from 0.19%, and 2yr expectations jumped from 0.64% to 0.75% (Figure 1). The 2yr inflation expectation was just 0.28% last October. After the regime and BOJ leadership change, 2yr inflation expectations have risen by nearly 0.5%. The 10yr inflation expectation inched up to 1.16% from 1.13%, but the expectation was just 0.77% in October.” He adds that while the survey result suggests to us that investors are still skeptical about the likelihood of the 2% inflation target being achieved in two years, a steady rise of inflation expectations is worth noting.
He adds that the latest survey by Nikkei Quick (April 23-25) suggested a further rise in inflation expectations. He writes, “1yr inflation expectations rose to 0.27% from 0.19%, and 2yr expectations jumped from 0.64% to 0.75% (Figure 1). The 2yr inflation expectation was just 0.28% last October. After the regime and BOJ leadership change, 2yr inflation expectations have risen by nearly 0.5%. The 10yr inflation expectation inched up to 1.16% from 1.13%, but the expectation was just 0.77% in October.” He adds that while the survey result suggests to us that investors are still skeptical about the likelihood of the 2% inflation target being achieved in two years, a steady rise of inflation expectations is worth noting.